https://www.cdc.gov/.
Цитата:These symptoms may appear 2-14 days after exposure (based on the incubation period of MERS-CoV viruses).
Это в основном разделе
А вот в статье на CDC есть иксель. В нем более короткий цикл, в худшем случае, от 4 дня до 14 дня (так как медианы по инфекционному периоду нет). Итого, берите цикл 10 дней, при условии полностью снятых ограничений.
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282-techapp1.xlsx
Цитата:The mean infectious period. Uniform distribution between 4 and 14 days. The range is set to incorporate a wide range of possible durations of infectious period. Note that if the mean duration of infectious period is longer than 14 days, we will under-estimate the value of R0..
Цитата:The mean latent period. Uniform distribution between 2.2 and 6 days. We and others estimated the mean incubation period to be between 4.2 and 6 days. The lower bound for the mean latent period is set to 2.2 days to consider the possibility that an individual becomes infectious 2 days before symptom onset.
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